A fragile calm has emerged in the Middle East after Donald Trump announced a conditional two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran. The agreement, described by JD Vance as a “fragile truce,” depends on Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil route. In return, Washington has paused military operations, offering a narrow window for diplomacy after weeks of escalating conflict. Iran has cautiously accepted the proposal. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that Tehran would halt fighting if attacks against Iran stop. The deal reportedly includes a broader framewor

A fragile calm has emerged in the Middle East after Donald Trump announced a conditional two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran. The agreement, described by JD Vance as a “fragile truce,” depends on Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil route. In return, Washington has paused military operations, offering a narrow window for diplomacy after weeks of escalating conflict.

Iran has cautiously accepted the proposal. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that Tehran would halt fighting if attacks against Iran stop. The deal reportedly includes a broader framework involving sanctions relief and long-term security arrangements, though key details remain unresolved.

Despite the announcement, violence has not fully subsided. Benjamin Netanyahu confirmed that Israel will continue military operations in southern Lebanon, arguing that the ceasefire does not apply to its conflict with Hezbollah. Airstrikes in areas such as Tyre and Nabatieh have already resulted in casualties, highlighting the limits of the agreement.

Across the Gulf, countries including Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates have reported continued drone and missile attacks, allegedly launched from Iran. Analysts suggest Iran’s decentralized military structure may make it difficult to enforce a complete ceasefire, as local commanders operate with significant autonomy.

Diplomatic efforts are intensifying, with Shehbaz Sharif inviting both sides to Islamabad for further talks, while Keir Starmer seeks broader international support.

Although oil prices have dropped, they remain above pre-war levels, reflecting ongoing uncertainty. Ultimately, the ceasefire represents a temporary pause rather than lasting peace, with its success dependent on sustained negotiations and genuine commitment from all sides.

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